I have written several blog posts about the arguments for (and thus against) the historicity of Jesus:
- A critical view on the historicity of Jesus
- Did a historic Jesus exist?
- Did a historic Jesus exist? Addendum
- Short-form list of arguments for and against the historicity of Jesus
In that second post I express the opinion that my answer to the question is "a weak yes", in other words, it's somewhat probable that a person did exist who the narrative of Jesus is based on. Sure, 99% of the things attributed to him may be completely fictitious, but it's likely that the person himself did exist (even if he was pretty much nothing like what's described in the scriptures.)
Over the years, however, I have slowly but surely changed my opinion. Slowly but surely my answer has changed to "almost certainly no".
Many atheists express the sentiment that they were once believers but they became atheists after actually studying the Bible in detail, and Christianity in general.
In this case what happened is very similar: The more I have studied this subject, and the more arguments for the historicity of Jesus I have read and seen, the more convinced I have become that, in fact, he never existed and is completely fictitious, no different from other fictitious figures like King Arthur, or Väinämöinen (from the Finnish epic Kalevala).
And I'm not here just talking about watching some random videos made by some random nobodies who aren't really experts in the subject and are merely parroting arguments they have heard (and often even doing so very poorly). I have watched many videos and read many articles written by serious Christian (and some non-Christian) scholars and historian academics who approach the subject in an extremely academic, professional and almost neutral manner, giving serious historical and academic arguments for the historicity of Jesus, arguing why the sources are actually reliable, and so on.
The irony is that the more competent, credible and academic the person is, and the more serious and academic his arguments are, the more it has convinced me of the opposite. Some random youtuber who clearly is not an academic and knows very little about the subject and is just poorly parroting random arguments he has heard? I just dismiss that as inconsequential and not convincing in either direction. However, the more serious, distinguished, credible and competent the academic is, and the "stronger" and well-presented his arguments are, ironically it only makes me even more convinced that Jesus never even existed.
Why? Because of how incredibly weak those arguments are, when you really get down to it and seriously consider them. Even the strongest, most credible and most serious arguments I have ever seen are astonishingly weak and don't hold up to scrutiny. (For a summary of such arguments and why they don't hold up to scrutiny see the fourth post I linked above.)
And that's the key: If even the biggest, most famous and most competent serious academics and historians out there can only present arguments this weak, it just tells me that there actually is no evidence that Jesus actually existed. If he actually did, surely there would be stronger and more credible arguments than what they present? Even their absolutely "best" and "strongest" arguments are laughably weak, which is very telling.
This is why the more I have listened to them, the more I have become convinced of the opposite.
This skepticism of Jesus's historicity actually shouldn't be as controversial as many (even some skeptics and secular historians) seem to think. Most secular (and in fact even a few Christian) historians and scholars have serious doubts about the historicity of the vast majority of biblical figures. Most such scholars seriously doubt that biblical figures like Adam, Moses, Abraham, Elijah, and most of the other biblical figures ever existed, and are most likely completely fictitious. Opinions may be more divided about figures like King Solomon and King David (with a somewhat prevalent view that, perhaps, their stories are very loosely based on real people), but even then there's doubt about them too.
Jesus is no different.
It is most certain that nothing of what's claimed in the Gospels, particularly about the things he did, are any more true than the miracles attributed to Moses or Elijah. Even by the most charitable secular interpretation of the Gospels possible, probably 95 to 99% of what is claimed in there about the man is completely fictitious and made up.
However, given the sheer lack of contemporary and other evidence for his very existence, I would pump up that figure to 100%.
We have literally more evidence for the historicity of the pirate Blackbeard than we have of Jesus. And that's saying something.
